Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Holland on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 48.9% vs Holland 46.1% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 72.1%
Defensive zone
Holland 74.0%
Neutral zone
Holland 51.9%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Spaling
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Spaling
Holland
Last 6: Spaling 3-3 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
0
Spaling
Holland
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
0
Spaling
Holland
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
1
3
Spaling
Holland
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (155)
45.4% (575)
+1.7%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
44.8% (29)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
46.9% (81)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Spaling has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Spaling is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Spaling shoots left. Holland is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Spaling
Holland
Home
47.2% (108)
47.2% (373)
Away
50.0% (66)
43.6% (312)
By Period
Spaling
Holland
P1
43.6%
46.8%
P2
41.9%
47.6%
P3
59.3%
42.5%
OT
66.7%
41.7%
Final 5 min
45.7%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
48.3%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 16:03 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 08:26 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 11:19 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 08:30 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |