Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Patrick 50.5% vs Holland 48.0% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Patrick leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Patrick 75.5%
Defensive zone
Patrick 52.2%
Neutral zone
Patrick 64.3%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Patrick
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Patrick
Holland
Last 10: Patrick 7-3 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
2
1
Patrick
Holland
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holland
0
1
Patrick
Holland
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
6
1
Patrick
Holland
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Patrick
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (719)
49.0% (196)
+1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
33.3% (27)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Patrick is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Patrick shoots right. Holland is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Patrick
Holland
Home
50.1% (391)
52.1% (94)
Away
51.1% (352)
43.6% (133)
By Period
Patrick
Holland
P1
54.4%
47.6%
P2
49.3%
48.6%
P3
47.5%
45.1%
Final 5 min
51.6%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 15:55 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 15:50 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 10:39 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 07:49 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 01:31 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 2 | 10:48 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 1 | 16:50 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 1 | 06:52 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 1 | 06:30 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 1 | 01:43 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |