Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Holland on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holland 45.9% vs Horcoff 49.6% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 78.2%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 70.5%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 70.4%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 73.3%
26.7%
73.3%
Holland
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Holland
Horcoff
Last 8: Holland 5-3 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
2
Holland
Horcoff
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holland
3
0
Holland
Horcoff
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Holland
Horcoff
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holland
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (2,232)
50.6% (3,133)
-5.0%
Power Play
52.4% (126)
51.4% (555)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (137)
43.0% (567)
-0.7%
On even strength, Horcoff has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Holland is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,605).
Holland shoots left. Horcoff is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,000).
Home / Away
Holland
Horcoff
Home
48.6% (1,288)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
42.7% (1,207)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Holland
Horcoff
P1
46.1%
48.2%
P2
47.3%
49.5%
P3
43.9%
50.9%
OT
39.1%
51.9%
Final 5 min
46.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.7%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2016 | 3 | 14:47 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 2 | 07:38 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 1 | 04:40 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 2 | 15:44 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 1 | 16:48 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Peter Holland |