Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Holland on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holland 47.1% vs Smith 51.9% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Holland 50.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 57.0%
Neutral zone
Holland 55.0%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Holland
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Holland
Smith
Last 10: Holland 5-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Holland
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Holland
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
4
2
Holland
Smith
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holland
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (411)
53.6% (550)
-7.9%
Power Play
55.9% (34)
53.5% (71)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
43.5% (108)
+1.5%
On even strength, Smith has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Holland is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Holland shoots left. Smith is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Holland
Smith
Home
48.9% (219)
56.5% (352)
Away
44.3% (246)
48.0% (377)
By Period
Holland
Smith
P1
44.0%
52.0%
P2
51.7%
51.5%
P3
44.6%
52.2%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
46.5%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 09:27 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 03:38 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 05:32 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 01:43 | Neutral | Zack Smith |