Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holland 45.9% vs Smith 50.6% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Holland 58.8%
Defensive zone
Holland 61.1%
Neutral zone
Holland 60.4%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Holland
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Holland
Smith
Last 10: Holland 5-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
5
Holland
Smith
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holland
2
1
Holland
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Holland
Smith
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holland
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (2,232)
51.6% (5,265)
-6.0%
Power Play
52.4% (126)
51.2% (342)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (137)
45.3% (985)
-3.0%
On even strength, Smith has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Holland is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,605).
Holland shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Holland
Smith
Home
48.6% (1,288)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
42.7% (1,207)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Holland
Smith
P1
46.1%
49.9%
P2
47.3%
50.0%
P3
43.9%
51.9%
OT
39.1%
51.6%
Final 5 min
46.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.7%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 18:13 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 09:27 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 03:38 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 05:32 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 01:43 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 1 | 02:58 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 18:22 | Offensive | Peter Holland |