Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mueller 47.7% vs Smith 50.6% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mueller 74.3%
Defensive zone
Mueller 51.7%
Neutral zone
Mueller 66.0%
Result
Peter Mueller favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Mueller
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Mueller
Smith
Last 8: Mueller 2-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
3
Mueller
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
3
Mueller
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mueller
1
0
Mueller
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mueller
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (88)
51.6% (5,265)
-7.3%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
51.2% (342)
-1.2%
On even strength, Smith has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Mueller is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Mueller shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Mueller
Smith
Home
47.9% (71)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
41.9% (43)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Mueller
Smith
P1
52.9%
49.9%
P2
45.2%
50.0%
P3
37.8%
51.9%
OT
100.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
56.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mueller
42.0%▼
45.6%
45.6%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 08:36 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Peter Mueller |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 03:28 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Peter Mueller |