Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Regin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Regin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 49.4% vs Regin 45.8% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 67.0%
Defensive zone
Regin 77.4%
Neutral zone
Regin 56.9%
Result
Peter Regin favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Tavares
Regin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Tavares
Regin
Last 6: Tavares 1-5 Regin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Regin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Regin
0
3
Tavares
Regin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Regin
0
1
Tavares
Regin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Regin
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (716)
48.2% (168)
+0.4%
Power Play
52.4% (208)
33.3% (9)
+19.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
24.2% (33)
+9.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Regin shoots left. Tavares is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (532).
Tavares shoots left. Regin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Tavares
Regin
Home
50.7% (448)
43.2% (95)
Away
48.1% (482)
44.3% (115)
By Period
Tavares
Regin
P1
52.8%
45.8%
P2
51.4%
46.2%
P3
43.7%
41.5%
OT
54.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.4%
Regin
54.0%▲
48.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Peter Regin |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Peter Regin |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Peter Regin |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Peter Regin |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 12:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 3 | 12:08 | Neutral | Peter Regin |