Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Krebs 49.2% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 63.1%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 57.4%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 61.5%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Cirelli
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cirelli
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Krebs
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Krebs
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
49.5% (560)
+0.4%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
52.6% (38)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
43.3% (67)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Cirelli shoots left. Krebs is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Krebs
Home
46.7% (649)
49.4% (314)
Away
53.5% (643)
48.7% (351)
By Period
Cirelli
Krebs
P1
50.1%
47.0%
P2
51.1%
50.5%
P3
48.5%
50.0%
OT
64.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.7%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 17:29 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |