Scouting Report
Austin Czarnik holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Czarnik on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 49.3% vs Krebs 46.8% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Czarnik 52.6%
Defensive zone
Czarnik 52.8%
Neutral zone
Czarnik 50.8%
Result
Austin Czarnik favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Czarnik
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Czarnik
Krebs
Last 7: Czarnik 4-3 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Czarnik
2
1
Czarnik
Krebs
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Czarnik
1
0
Czarnik
Krebs
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
2
Czarnik
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (199)
47.2% (542)
+1.0%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
54.2% (24)
+25.8%
On power play, Czarnik has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Czarnik is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Czarnik shoots right. Krebs is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Krebs
Home
48.6% (105)
45.5% (312)
Away
49.5% (99)
47.0% (302)
By Period
Czarnik
Krebs
P1
53.6%
46.6%
P2
47.1%
42.7%
P3
46.2%
48.6%
Final 5 min
49.1%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 13:16 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:53 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |