Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Krebs on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.2% vs Krebs 45.4% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 56.6%
Defensive zone
Krebs 69.2%
Neutral zone
Krebs 66.5%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Jankowski
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jankowski
Krebs
Last 6: Jankowski 2-4 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Krebs
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
2
Jankowski
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
2
Jankowski
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (515)
44.4% (385)
+9.4%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
25.0% (4)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (38)
45.0% (20)
+12.9%
On power play, Jankowski has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Jankowski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Jankowski shoots left. Krebs is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Krebs
Home
53.9% (310)
46.8% (188)
Away
53.7% (255)
42.1% (221)
By Period
Jankowski
Krebs
P1
54.4%
47.2%
P2
55.7%
44.5%
P3
51.5%
41.1%
Final 5 min
54.7%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
50.0%▬
51.0%
53.8%
Krebs
44.0%▬
45.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:18 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |