Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.4% vs 45.0%). Look for Krebs on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Krebs wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.5% vs Hartman 45.5% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 59.6%
Defensive zone
Krebs 53.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 55.3%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Krebs
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Krebs
Hartman
Last 5: Krebs 3-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
3
2
Krebs
Hartman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (388)
44.8% (830)
-0.2%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
47.8% (92)
-22.8%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
37.5% (16)
+7.5%
On power play, Hartman has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Krebs is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Krebs shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Krebs
Hartman
Home
46.8% (188)
45.0% (515)
Away
42.4% (224)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Krebs
Hartman
P1
47.2%
46.5%
P2
44.9%
39.9%
P3
41.1%
48.6%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
44.4%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |