Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Krebs wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.5% vs Carrick 53.8% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 56.8%
Defensive zone
Carrick 79.9%
Neutral zone
Carrick 73.4%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 73.4%
26.6%
73.4%
Krebs
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Krebs
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
0
Krebs
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (388)
55.1% (439)
-10.5%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
66.7% (3)
-41.7%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
49.1% (53)
-4.1%
On power play, Carrick has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Krebs is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Krebs shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Krebs
Carrick
Home
46.8% (188)
58.2% (225)
Away
42.4% (224)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Krebs
Carrick
P1
47.2%
56.7%
P2
44.9%
52.8%
P3
41.1%
54.4%
Final 5 min
53.5%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
44.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |