Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Krebs wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.9% vs Crosby 53.5% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 73.0%
Defensive zone
Krebs 69.9%
Neutral zone
Krebs 55.3%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Krebs
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Krebs
Crosby
Last 10: Krebs 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
4
Krebs
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
3
2
Krebs
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Krebs
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (2,159)
52.8% (17,990)
-6.8%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
57.4% (4,733)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (171)
47.1% (765)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Krebs is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,544).
Krebs shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Krebs
Crosby
Home
45.7% (1,182)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
45.8% (1,247)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Krebs
Crosby
P1
45.9%
53.6%
P2
46.4%
53.9%
P3
44.8%
53.3%
OT
57.1%
49.6%
Final 5 min
49.5%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:44 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 04:17 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 16:37 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 11:53 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 17:16 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 16:44 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 2 | 02:55 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |