Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Krebs wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.5% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 57.9%
Defensive zone
Krebs 87.1%
Neutral zone
Krebs 71.8%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Krebs
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Krebs
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Krebs
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Krebs
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (388)
56.1% (342)
-11.5%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
53.3% (92)
-28.3%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
62.5% (8)
-17.5%
On power play, Stamkos has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Krebs is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Krebs shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Krebs
Stamkos
Home
46.8% (188)
53.4% (208)
Away
42.4% (224)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Krebs
Stamkos
P1
47.2%
55.6%
P2
44.9%
52.8%
P3
41.1%
59.1%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
53.5%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
44.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 04:11 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |