Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.9% vs Johnson 49.7% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 79.1%
Defensive zone
Johnson 55.4%
Neutral zone
Johnson 64.2%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Krebs
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Krebs
Johnson
Last 6: Krebs 4-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Krebs
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
2
0
Krebs
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Krebs
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (2,159)
49.8% (5,396)
-3.8%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
54.6% (885)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (171)
42.3% (707)
-3.7%
On even strength, Johnson has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Krebs is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (885).
Krebs shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Krebs
Johnson
Home
45.7% (1,182)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
45.8% (1,247)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Krebs
Johnson
P1
45.9%
50.1%
P2
46.4%
50.6%
P3
44.8%
48.4%
OT
57.1%
42.5%
Final 5 min
49.5%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 01:43 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 15:36 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 04:53 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 01:27 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |