Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Beagle wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Varone shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.2% vs Varone 46.2% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Varone 62.1%
Defensive zone
Varone 50.4%
Neutral zone
Varone 52.1%
Result
Phil Varone favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Beagle
Varone
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Beagle
Varone
Last 5: Beagle 2-3 Varone
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Beagle
Varone
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Varone
0
1
Beagle
Varone
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (284)
45.4% (315)
+12.7%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
36.4% (11)
-3.1%
On even strength, Beagle has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. Beagle is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Beagle shoots right. Varone is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Beagle
Varone
Home
57.9% (183)
44.5% (119)
Away
55.2% (201)
45.4% (207)
By Period
Beagle
Varone
P1
54.7%
44.5%
P2
62.1%
38.6%
P3
50.9%
53.5%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.5%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |