Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kurashev wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kurashev 47.3% vs Colton 51.4% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kurashev 86.2%
Defensive zone
Kurashev 50.4%
Neutral zone
Kurashev 71.4%
Result
Philipp Kurashev favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Kurashev
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Kurashev
Colton
Last 5: Kurashev 0-5 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Kurashev
Colton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
4
Kurashev
Colton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kurashev
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (203)
52.1% (741)
-5.8%
Power Play
49.1% (57)
48.3% (60)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
42.1% (19)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Colton has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Kurashev is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Kurashev shoots left. Colton is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (551).
Home / Away
Kurashev
Colton
Home
45.0% (140)
54.0% (411)
Away
47.8% (134)
49.1% (409)
By Period
Kurashev
Colton
P1
51.9%
56.7%
P2
44.3%
53.1%
P3
43.6%
46.3%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.4%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | Ross Colton |