Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kurashev on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kurashev wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kurashev 46.6% vs Seguin 54.2% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 61.1%
Defensive zone
Seguin 69.4%
Neutral zone
Seguin 55.9%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Kurashev
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kurashev
Seguin
Last 5: Kurashev 3-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Kurashev
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kurashev
3
0
Kurashev
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kurashev
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (145)
55.0% (713)
-12.2%
Power Play
45.5% (33)
56.7% (104)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (12)
47.2% (53)
+19.5%
On penalty kill, Kurashev has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kurashev is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Kurashev shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Kurashev
Seguin
Home
51.2% (82)
56.2% (443)
Away
39.8% (108)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Kurashev
Seguin
P1
51.7%
54.2%
P2
45.7%
52.9%
P3
37.0%
57.1%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 17:05 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |