Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dupuis wins 40.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dupuis 47.1% vs Kesler 57.0% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dupuis 68.0%
Defensive zone
Dupuis 67.4%
Neutral zone
Dupuis 66.9%
Result
Philippe Dupuis favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Dupuis
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Dupuis
Kesler
Last 7: Dupuis 2-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Dupuis
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dupuis
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Dupuis
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dupuis
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (256)
57.3% (1,022)
-9.3%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
61.5% (200)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (62)
54.9% (257)
-17.8%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Dupuis is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Dupuis shoots right. Kesler is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Dupuis
Kesler
Home
46.2% (182)
58.6% (766)
Away
46.3% (149)
56.2% (730)
By Period
Dupuis
Kesler
P1
46.7%
58.9%
P2
45.9%
56.8%
P3
46.1%
57.5%
Final 5 min
52.6%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dupuis
50.0%▲
44.5%
46.2%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2011 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 2 | 07:24 | Defensive | Philippe Dupuis |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Philippe Dupuis |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 2 | 04:08 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |