Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Dupuis wins 43.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dupuis 47.4% vs Kesler 55.9% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dupuis 58.2%
Defensive zone
Dupuis 62.4%
Neutral zone
Dupuis 62.6%
Result
Philippe Dupuis favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Dupuis
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Dupuis
Kesler
Last 8: Dupuis 3-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dupuis
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dupuis
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Dupuis
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dupuis
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (310)
56.4% (8,095)
-8.3%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
60.7% (1,437)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (65)
50.5% (1,908)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Dupuis is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Dupuis shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Dupuis
Kesler
Home
45.0% (209)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
48.9% (180)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Dupuis
Kesler
P1
48.8%
56.5%
P2
46.2%
55.9%
P3
45.0%
56.1%
OT
66.7%
46.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dupuis
50.0%▲
44.5%
46.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 04:57 | Offensive | Philippe Dupuis |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 2 | 07:24 | Defensive | Philippe Dupuis |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Philippe Dupuis |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 2 | 04:08 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |