Casey Mittelstadt vs Phillip Danault
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Danault 51.7% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 60.0%
Defensive zone
Danault 86.8%
Neutral zone
Danault 85.1%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Mittelstadt
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Mittelstadt
Danault
Last 5: Mittelstadt 4-1 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
0
Mittelstadt
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
52.6% (895)
-6.2%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
55.7% (97)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
45.5% (165)
+4.5%
On even strength, Danault has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Danault is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (787).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Danault
Home
47.7% (583)
54.0% (581)
Away
46.4% (541)
49.7% (576)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Danault
P1
50.0%
53.7%
P2
46.2%
55.3%
P3
45.5%
46.5%
OT
25.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
43.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:59 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 10:30 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |