Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kastelic wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.3% vs Danault 54.8% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 62.8%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 78.1%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 65.1%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Kastelic
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kastelic
Danault
Last 6: Kastelic 4-2 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Kastelic
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
2
0
Kastelic
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
2
1
Kastelic
Danault
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (340)
56.5% (711)
+4.7%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
46.0% (50)
+37.3%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (141)
51.7% (116)
+4.3%
On power play, Kastelic has a +37.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Kastelic is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Kastelic shoots right. Danault is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Danault
Home
60.9% (233)
57.0% (379)
Away
59.1% (254)
54.0% (498)
By Period
Kastelic
Danault
P1
58.6%
55.8%
P2
58.7%
55.3%
P3
63.1%
54.8%
OT
53.8%
55.6%
Final 5 min
67.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 19:32 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 08:23 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |