Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.4% vs Danault 52.1% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 70.1%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 65.1%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 50.8%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Kastelic
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kastelic
Danault
Last 5: Kastelic 2-3 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Kastelic
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Kastelic
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (345)
52.4% (958)
+3.0%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
62.0% (71)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
47.6% (187)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Kastelic shoots right. Danault is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Danault
Home
50.6% (162)
51.2% (605)
Away
57.4% (204)
53.2% (611)
By Period
Kastelic
Danault
P1
61.5%
53.1%
P2
52.8%
49.8%
P3
50.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
46.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:44 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 04:42 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |