Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dowd wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.1% vs Danault 51.5% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 89.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 73.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 78.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Dowd
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Dowd
Danault
Last 7: Dowd 1-6 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
3
Dowd
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
3
Dowd
Danault
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (608)
51.9% (917)
-4.7%
Power Play
53.1% (96)
52.4% (42)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
48.6% (72)
-48.6%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +48.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Dowd is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Dowd shoots right. Danault is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (418).
Home / Away
Dowd
Danault
Home
48.7% (384)
53.7% (477)
Away
46.7% (323)
50.0% (554)
By Period
Dowd
Danault
P1
50.2%
52.4%
P2
47.5%
47.3%
P3
46.2%
55.6%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
47.8%
Danault
62.0%▲
58.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2016 | 3 | 16:59 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 18:41 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 11:51 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 09:35 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 01:43 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |