Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.7% vs 55.5%). Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 54.2% vs Danault 55.2% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 81.2%
Defensive zone
Danault 53.6%
Neutral zone
Stastny 59.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Stastny
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Stastny
Danault
Last 7: Stastny 2-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
1
Stastny
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
2
Stastny
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
2
Stastny
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (657)
54.8% (1,222)
-2.0%
Power Play
61.0% (118)
81.6% (49)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
61.1% (72)
54.3% (317)
+6.8%
On power play, Danault has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Stastny is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Stastny shoots left. Danault is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Stastny
Danault
Home
53.0% (464)
56.2% (770)
Away
56.7% (383)
54.9% (818)
By Period
Stastny
Danault
P1
47.9%
52.5%
P2
59.6%
57.9%
P3
54.9%
55.6%
OT
55.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Danault
62.0%▲
58.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 19:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 17:29 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 13:59 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 03:40 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |