Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 13 meetings). Stastny wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 54.0% vs Danault 52.2% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 18-11 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 88.4%
Defensive zone
Danault 73.1%
Neutral zone
Stastny 62.5%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Stastny
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
11
(29 meetings)
18
11
Stastny
Danault
Last 10: Stastny 7-3 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
13
0
Stastny
Danault
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
8
Stastny
Danault
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
3
Stastny
Danault
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (432)
55.1% (720)
-2.6%
Power Play
60.4% (154)
50.0% (20)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
41.3% (167)
+25.4%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Stastny is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Stastny shoots left. Danault is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (664).
Home / Away
Stastny
Danault
Home
58.3% (307)
54.5% (442)
Away
50.9% (285)
50.5% (465)
By Period
Stastny
Danault
P1
57.4%
53.8%
P2
51.7%
54.2%
P3
54.5%
49.8%
OT
80.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.0%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2021 | 3 | 15:10 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 18:14 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 16:22 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 15:44 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 07:45 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 00:51 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 14:35 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 05:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 18:29 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 14:56 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 04:53 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 15:10 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 05:33 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 08:25 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |