Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Danault wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 53.3% vs Johnson 50.3% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 78.3%
Defensive zone
Johnson 58.5%
Neutral zone
Danault 60.6%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Danault
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Danault
Johnson
Last 5: Danault 3-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Danault
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
2
1
Danault
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (985)
51.0% (196)
+3.0%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
50.0% (2)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (146)
42.9% (14)
+0.9%
On power play, Danault has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Danault is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Danault shoots left. Johnson is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Danault
Johnson
Home
54.7% (636)
48.8% (125)
Away
52.4% (626)
52.9% (87)
By Period
Danault
Johnson
P1
54.1%
54.2%
P2
54.3%
44.2%
P3
52.5%
54.8%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.6%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Reese Johnson |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | Reese Johnson |