Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Danault wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.8% vs Greig 50.6% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 67.6%
Defensive zone
Greig 50.1%
Neutral zone
Danault 63.6%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Danault
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Danault
Greig
Last 5: Danault 3-2 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
0
Danault
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Danault
Greig
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
2
1
Danault
Greig
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (711)
51.5% (336)
+5.0%
Power Play
46.0% (50)
66.7% (24)
-20.7%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (116)
43.2% (81)
+8.5%
On power play, Greig has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Danault is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Danault shoots left. Greig is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Danault
Greig
Home
57.0% (379)
50.2% (247)
Away
54.0% (498)
51.5% (194)
By Period
Danault
Greig
P1
55.8%
46.9%
P2
55.3%
58.8%
P3
54.8%
48.3%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 16:08 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 06:09 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 03:07 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |