Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Danault wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 53.3% vs Nash 51.7% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 63.9%
Defensive zone
Nash 75.2%
Neutral zone
Nash 57.7%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Danault
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Danault
Nash
Last 6: Danault 2-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Danault
Nash
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Danault
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
2
1
Danault
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (985)
54.1% (292)
-0.1%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
57.1% (7)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (146)
45.9% (98)
-2.1%
On power play, Danault has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Danault is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Danault shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Danault
Nash
Home
54.7% (636)
56.3% (183)
Away
52.4% (626)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Danault
Nash
P1
54.1%
58.9%
P2
54.3%
51.0%
P3
52.5%
46.5%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.6%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 11:02 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 12:45 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 09:38 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 10:07 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |