Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Danault wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 48.0% vs Kesler 58.0% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Danault 81.1%
Defensive zone
Danault 81.5%
Neutral zone
Danault 83.5%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 81.6%
81.6%
18.4%
Danault
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
10
(11 meetings)
1
10
Danault
Kesler
Last 10: Danault 1-9 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
4
Danault
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
5
Danault
Kesler
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Danault
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (485)
58.6% (1,138)
-11.0%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
64.5% (186)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (25)
55.0% (351)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Danault is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Danault shoots left. Kesler is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,168).
Home / Away
Danault
Kesler
Home
46.5% (230)
61.0% (859)
Away
48.4% (289)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Danault
Kesler
P1
47.4%
59.1%
P2
45.7%
56.5%
P3
49.5%
60.5%
Final 5 min
44.1%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
47.6%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 17:44 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 1 | 04:01 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 2, 2016 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 10:38 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 03:15 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |