Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Danault wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 53.2% vs Kesler 55.9% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Danault 62.4%
Defensive zone
Danault 63.2%
Neutral zone
Danault 60.7%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Danault
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
15
(23 meetings)
8
15
Danault
Kesler
Last 10: Danault 5-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
5
Danault
Kesler
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
5
7
Danault
Kesler
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
3
Danault
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (9,447)
56.4% (8,095)
-2.8%
Power Play
61.4% (757)
60.7% (1,437)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (1,702)
50.5% (1,908)
-3.1%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Danault is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (4,034).
Danault shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Danault
Kesler
Home
54.2% (5,820)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
52.3% (6,086)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Danault
Kesler
P1
53.7%
56.5%
P2
53.5%
55.9%
P3
52.7%
56.1%
OT
49.3%
46.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 02:12 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 18:53 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 06:37 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 05:19 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 17:44 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 1 | 04:01 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 2, 2016 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |