Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Danault wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.8% vs McLeod 47.8% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Danault 77.2%
Defensive zone
Danault 71.0%
Neutral zone
Danault 72.5%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Danault
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Danault
McLeod
Last 10: Danault 7-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
3
1
Danault
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Danault
McLeod
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
2
1
Danault
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (711)
49.2% (796)
+7.3%
Power Play
46.0% (50)
44.8% (87)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (116)
43.3% (263)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Danault is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Danault shoots left. McLeod is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Danault
McLeod
Home
57.0% (379)
49.2% (575)
Away
54.0% (498)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Danault
McLeod
P1
55.8%
52.8%
P2
55.3%
45.1%
P3
54.8%
45.6%
OT
55.6%
35.7%
Final 5 min
55.7%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 18:35 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 07:36 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 13:46 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 04:02 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 11:20 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 07:07 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 05:31 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |