Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Danault wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 53.2% vs Gagner 46.0% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 78.6%
Defensive zone
Danault 74.8%
Neutral zone
Danault 50.9%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Danault
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Danault
Gagner
Last 10: Danault 5-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
3
Danault
Gagner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Danault
Gagner
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
1
0
Danault
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (9,297)
45.4% (4,699)
+8.2%
Power Play
61.5% (748)
51.5% (928)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (1,680)
35.0% (226)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Danault is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,989).
Danault shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Danault
Gagner
Home
54.2% (5,720)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
52.2% (6,005)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Danault
Gagner
P1
53.7%
44.6%
P2
53.5%
46.1%
P3
52.6%
47.3%
OT
48.1%
42.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
62.0%▲
58.0%
53.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 03:54 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 19:32 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 05:44 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 16:57 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 12:13 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 10:24 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 01:47 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |