Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Danault wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 53.2% vs Gagner 46.0% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 78.6%
Defensive zone
Danault 74.7%
Neutral zone
Danault 51.0%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Danault
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Danault
Gagner
Last 10: Danault 5-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
3
Danault
Gagner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Danault
Gagner
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
1
0
Danault
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (9,447)
45.4% (4,699)
+8.2%
Power Play
61.4% (757)
51.5% (928)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (1,702)
35.0% (226)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Danault is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (4,034).
Danault shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Danault
Gagner
Home
54.2% (5,820)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
52.3% (6,086)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Danault
Gagner
P1
53.7%
44.6%
P2
53.5%
46.1%
P3
52.7%
47.3%
OT
49.3%
42.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.3%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 03:54 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 19:32 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 05:44 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 16:57 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 12:13 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 10:24 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 01:47 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |