Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Danault wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 52.4% vs Gagner 48.1% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 77.7%
Defensive zone
Danault 73.6%
Neutral zone
Gagner 57.8%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Danault
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Danault
Gagner
Last 9: Danault 4-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Danault
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
3
Danault
Gagner
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
1
0
Danault
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (574)
47.3% (395)
+5.3%
Power Play
63.6% (44)
50.0% (62)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (102)
50.0% (4)
-1.0%
On power play, Danault has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Danault is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Danault shoots left. Gagner is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Danault
Gagner
Home
56.8% (382)
49.4% (267)
Away
48.2% (338)
45.4% (194)
By Period
Danault
Gagner
P1
54.4%
47.5%
P2
55.1%
48.5%
P3
48.6%
48.1%
OT
71.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.8%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 03:54 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 19:32 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 05:44 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 16:57 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 12:13 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 10:24 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 01:47 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |