Phillip Danault vs Steven Stamkos
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.3% vs 55.7%). Danault wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.8% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 67.8%
Defensive zone
Danault 83.3%
Neutral zone
Danault 51.5%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Danault
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Danault
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
0
Danault
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
1
0
Danault
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (711)
56.1% (342)
+0.4%
Power Play
46.0% (50)
53.3% (92)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (116)
62.5% (8)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Danault is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Danault shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Danault
Stamkos
Home
57.0% (379)
53.4% (208)
Away
54.0% (498)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Danault
Stamkos
P1
55.8%
55.6%
P2
55.3%
52.8%
P3
54.8%
59.1%
OT
55.6%
62.5%
Final 5 min
55.7%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:36 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |