Phillip Danault vs Steven Stamkos
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Danault wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 52.1% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 77.1%
Defensive zone
Danault 76.1%
Neutral zone
Danault 52.3%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Danault
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Danault
Stamkos
Last 8: Danault 4-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
3
Danault
Stamkos
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
2
1
Danault
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (958)
49.3% (670)
+3.1%
Power Play
62.0% (71)
53.7% (121)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (187)
33.3% (3)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Danault is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Danault shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Danault
Stamkos
Home
51.2% (605)
54.0% (400)
Away
53.2% (611)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Danault
Stamkos
P1
53.1%
48.6%
P2
49.8%
54.5%
P3
54.3%
45.4%
OT
20.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:13 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:27 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 10:53 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |