Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Danault wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.8% vs Thompson 45.3% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Danault 72.9%
Defensive zone
Danault 95.6%
Neutral zone
Danault 86.1%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Danault
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Danault
Thompson
Last 10: Danault 7-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
4
Danault
Thompson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
7
0
Danault
Thompson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (711)
44.9% (642)
+11.6%
Power Play
46.0% (50)
47.9% (94)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (116)
33.3% (33)
+18.4%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Danault is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Danault shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Danault
Thompson
Home
57.0% (379)
46.0% (391)
Away
54.0% (498)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Danault
Thompson
P1
55.8%
48.1%
P2
55.3%
44.9%
P3
54.8%
41.2%
OT
55.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.7%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 19:22 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 16:58 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 00:58 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 07:20 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |