Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Danault wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 52.1% vs Thompson 43.7% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 75.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 55.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 68.4%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Danault
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Danault
Thompson
Last 6: Danault 2-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Danault
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Danault
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Danault
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (958)
41.9% (597)
+10.5%
Power Play
62.0% (71)
50.5% (95)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (187)
25.0% (12)
+22.6%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Danault is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Danault shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Danault
Thompson
Home
51.2% (605)
47.1% (367)
Away
53.2% (611)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Danault
Thompson
P1
53.1%
44.2%
P2
49.8%
41.6%
P3
54.3%
42.9%
OT
20.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:22 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 09:26 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 03:38 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |