Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Danault wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 52.4% vs Johnson 50.1% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 69.2%
Defensive zone
Johnson 63.3%
Neutral zone
Johnson 67.5%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Danault
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Danault
Johnson
Last 8: Danault 2-6 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
3
Danault
Johnson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Danault
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Danault
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (574)
51.8% (548)
+0.8%
Power Play
63.6% (44)
51.7% (58)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (102)
40.7% (113)
+8.3%
On power play, Danault has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Danault is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Danault shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Danault
Johnson
Home
56.8% (382)
53.6% (371)
Away
48.2% (338)
46.3% (348)
By Period
Danault
Johnson
P1
54.4%
50.9%
P2
55.1%
50.2%
P3
48.6%
48.9%
OT
71.4%
55.6%
Final 5 min
46.6%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 04:10 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 01:04 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 13:17 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 03:43 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |