Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Danault wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 51.7% vs Johnson 45.7% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 65.3%
Defensive zone
Danault 53.5%
Neutral zone
Danault 52.0%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Danault
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Danault
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Danault
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
2
0
Danault
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (895)
44.6% (285)
+8.0%
Power Play
55.7% (97)
46.7% (60)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
16.7% (6)
+28.8%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Danault is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Danault shoots left. Johnson is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Danault
Johnson
Home
54.0% (581)
50.8% (179)
Away
49.7% (576)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Danault
Johnson
P1
53.7%
41.3%
P2
55.3%
41.8%
P3
46.5%
49.6%
OT
46.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 1 | 06:55 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |