Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +18.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Danault wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 53.2% vs Smith 39.7% (+18.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 72.8%
Defensive zone
Danault 97.3%
Neutral zone
Danault 90.2%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 91.0%
91.0%
9.0%
Danault
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Danault
Smith
Last 5: Danault 4-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
0
Danault
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
2
1
Danault
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
1
0
Danault
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (9,447)
33.0% (191)
+20.6%
Power Play
61.4% (757)
48.1% (27)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (1,702)
50.0% (2)
-2.6%
On even strength, Danault has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Danault is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (4,034).
Danault shoots left. Smith is 36.2% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Danault
Smith
Home
54.2% (5,820)
33.6% (128)
Away
52.3% (6,086)
37.0% (92)
By Period
Danault
Smith
P1
53.7%
37.1%
P2
53.5%
32.9%
P3
52.7%
33.3%
OT
49.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
34.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.3%
Smith
36.0%▬
36.0%
35.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 19:39 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:39 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Will Smith |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |