Derek Stepan vs Pierre-Edouard Bellemare
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bellemare on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bellemare shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Bellemare 52.0% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 52.8%
Defensive zone
Bellemare 50.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 50.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Stepan
Bellemare
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Stepan
Bellemare
Last 6: Stepan 1-5 Bellemare
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bellemare
1
3
Stepan
Bellemare
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bellemare
0
2
Stepan
Bellemare
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Bellemare
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
53.8% (481)
+1.5%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
100.0% (1)
-100.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
46.3% (134)
+4.5%
On power play, Bellemare has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bellemare shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Bellemare is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Stepan
Bellemare
Home
57.7% (213)
53.0% (315)
Away
50.7% (209)
51.5% (301)
By Period
Stepan
Bellemare
P1
56.3%
51.4%
P2
48.9%
53.2%
P3
57.1%
52.7%
Final 5 min
57.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Bellemare
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 06:30 | Neutral | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |