Pierre-Edouard Bellemare vs Ryan O'Reilly
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 53.9%). Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bellemare 52.7% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 77.5%
Defensive zone
Bellemare 78.7%
Neutral zone
Bellemare 51.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Bellemare
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Bellemare
O'Reilly
Last 5: Bellemare 2-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Bellemare
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bellemare
1
0
Bellemare
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bellemare
1
0
Bellemare
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bellemare
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (234)
55.0% (1,084)
-1.2%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
56.8% (303)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (87)
40.3% (149)
+11.4%
On power play, Bellemare has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Bellemare is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Bellemare shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Bellemare
O'Reilly
Home
51.8% (170)
54.8% (759)
Away
55.5% (155)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Bellemare
O'Reilly
P1
52.6%
55.3%
P2
51.8%
51.9%
P3
56.3%
54.2%
OT
100.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
51.6%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bellemare
58.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 19:37 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |