Mathew Barzal vs Pierre-Luc Dubois

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Barzal wins 38.8% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Barzal 41.4% vs Dubois 46.6% (-2.6%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Barzal 72.7%
Defensive zone Barzal 79.2%
Neutral zone Barzal 76.1%
Result Mathew Barzal favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Barzal Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
2 - 7 (9 meetings)
2
7
Barzal Dubois
Last 9: Barzal 2-7 Dubois

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Barzal Dubois
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
5
Barzal Dubois
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Barzal Dubois
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Barzal
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (456)
40.3% (72)
+0.1%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
66.7% (3)
-32.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
66.7% (3)
-38.1%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +38.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Barzal is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (389).
Barzal shoots right. Dubois is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Barzal
Dubois
Home
38.0% (242)
34.5% (29)
Away
41.3% (259)
46.9% (49)
By Period
Barzal
Dubois
P1
46.6%
35.7%
P2
35.4%
42.9%
P3
38.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
35.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
40.0%
44.5%
39.7%
Dubois
42.0%
47.5%
42.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Oct 31, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Pierre-Luc Dubois
Oct 11, 2025 3 05:12 Defensive Pierre-Luc Dubois
Oct 11, 2025 2 17:07 Defensive Pierre-Luc Dubois
Oct 11, 2025 2 05:01 Defensive Pierre-Luc Dubois
Oct 11, 2025 2 04:42 Defensive Pierre-Luc Dubois
Oct 11, 2025 2 01:13 Defensive Pierre-Luc Dubois
Oct 11, 2025 1 07:44 Defensive Mathew Barzal
Oct 11, 2025 1 07:40 Offensive Pierre-Luc Dubois
Oct 11, 2025 1 04:52 Defensive Mathew Barzal