Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 49.4% vs McLeod 47.8% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 58.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 69.0%
Neutral zone
McLeod 50.5%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Dubois
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Dubois
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Dubois
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
0
Dubois
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dubois
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (225)
49.2% (796)
-3.0%
Power Play
66.7% (27)
44.8% (87)
+21.9%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
43.3% (263)
+31.7%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Dubois is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Dubois shoots left. McLeod is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Dubois
McLeod
Home
46.6% (163)
49.2% (575)
Away
53.6% (97)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Dubois
McLeod
P1
45.0%
52.8%
P2
52.3%
45.1%
P3
50.5%
45.6%
OT
0.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
52.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.2%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 18:27 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 15:13 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 14:35 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |