Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 49.7% vs McLeod 52.1% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 57.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 65.1%
Neutral zone
McLeod 59.4%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Dubois
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Dubois
McLeod
Last 9: Dubois 5-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dubois
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
1
Dubois
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dubois
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (1,064)
52.9% (904)
-3.1%
Power Play
46.3% (67)
57.6% (59)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (30)
49.0% (241)
+4.3%
On power play, McLeod has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Dubois is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Dubois shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Dubois
McLeod
Home
48.3% (582)
51.8% (612)
Away
51.1% (579)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Dubois
McLeod
P1
52.0%
55.4%
P2
49.9%
50.8%
P3
46.9%
51.6%
OT
64.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
42.0%▼
47.5%
49.7%
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 11:56 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 6, 2025 | OT | 04:00 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 6, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:33 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |