Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Evans wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Suter 43.3% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 69.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 95.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 91.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 89.9%
89.9%
10.1%
Evans
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Evans
Suter
Last 7: Evans 6-1 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Suter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Suter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
3
0
Evans
Suter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
42.4% (740)
+12.0%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
48.0% (75)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
37.3% (59)
+10.8%
On power play, Evans has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Evans shoots right. Suter is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Evans
Suter
Home
55.1% (541)
41.8% (407)
Away
50.8% (581)
43.3% (467)
By Period
Evans
Suter
P1
51.8%
44.7%
P2
53.3%
41.5%
P3
53.8%
41.9%
OT
38.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:43 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 06:11 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:53 | Defensive | Jake Evans |