Scouting Report
Mavrik Bourque holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Bourque wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bourque 47.1% vs Suter 43.3% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 64.0%
Defensive zone
Suter 51.5%
Neutral zone
Suter 56.4%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Bourque
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Bourque
Suter
Last 7: Bourque 3-4 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Bourque
Suter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
1
Bourque
Suter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bourque
Suter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bourque
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (321)
42.4% (740)
+4.3%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
48.0% (75)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (21)
37.3% (59)
+5.6%
On power play, Suter has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Bourque is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (269).
Bourque shoots right. Suter is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Bourque
Suter
Home
51.0% (157)
41.8% (407)
Away
42.4% (191)
43.3% (467)
By Period
Bourque
Suter
P1
44.2%
44.7%
P2
44.7%
41.5%
P3
49.6%
41.9%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
59.2%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bourque
50.0%▲
46.0%
46.3%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:31 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 01:38 | Offensive | Mavrik Bourque |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 04:04 | Neutral | Mavrik Bourque |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1 | 18:43 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | Mavrik Bourque |