Scouting Report
Rourke Chartier holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Chartier on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Suter wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Chartier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 46.3% vs Chartier 50.0% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 88.5%
Defensive zone
Suter 74.0%
Neutral zone
Suter 75.4%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Suter
Chartier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Suter
Chartier
Last 6: Suter 0-6 Chartier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chartier
0
1
Suter
Chartier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chartier
0
5
Suter
Chartier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Chartier
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (3,208)
50.8% (329)
-4.6%
Power Play
52.9% (278)
66.7% (6)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (303)
45.6% (79)
-5.3%
On power play, Chartier has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chartier shoots left. Suter is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,386).
Suter shoots left. Chartier is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Suter
Chartier
Home
46.8% (1,804)
48.3% (240)
Away
45.7% (1,985)
52.3% (174)
By Period
Suter
Chartier
P1
46.6%
51.5%
P2
46.0%
48.1%
P3
46.1%
50.3%
Final 5 min
46.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.2%
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 04:29 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Rourke Chartier |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 16:52 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 11:39 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:15 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |